Wednesday, December 16, 2020

4 Dividend Stocks With A 20% Yield In 20 Years

I know very little about hockey, but I have always loved this quote:

I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been."
- Wayne Gretzky

It can be applied to so many things in life, including investing in Dividend Growth Stocks. Just as Gretzky has a vision as to where the puck is going, investors need to have a similar vision, and not get caught up on short-sighted distractions.

Investing in dividend growth stocks requires a long-term vision. It is easy to run a screen and find stocks that are paying a 10%, 15% or 20% yield today; but how long will they be able to sustain it? Instead you may want to skate to where the future high-yielders are going to be. To do that end, here are some things you need to know...

Tracking Yield On Cost

Yield-on-cost (YOC) is simply Current Annual Dividend divided by Original Cost Per Share. YOC not a substitute for calculating an internal rate of return (IRR). The IRR calculation takes into account both capital appreciation and the timing of cash flows (purchases, sells and dividends).

However, as a dividend growth investor, my primary focus is on dividend growth and since my desired holding period is forever, capital appreciation is little more than an interesting side note.

YOC is much better suited for tracking dividend growth since it is individually tied to a stock and takes into account all the variations of growth rates over time, along with the timing of purchases. Also, it is useful when trying to explain to our income investor brethren why we chose the stock yielding 3% over 'Amalgamated Risk' at 8%.

This week week, I screened my dividend growth stocks database for stocks that have a dividend growth rate in excess of 5% and current yield of 2% or higher that will be yielding between 20% to 35% in 20 years based on their current yield and dividend growth rate. The results are presented below:

MEC Industrial Direct (MSM) is a direct marketer that offers a range of industrial products to customers throughout the U.S.; it focuses on maintenance, repair and operations (MRO) supplies. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 2003 and has increased its dividend payments for 17 consecutive years.
Yield: 3.5% | Dividend Growth: 12.9% | 20 Year Yield: 40.2%

Bank of the Ozarks (OZK) owns Bank of the Ozarks, which provides retail & commercial banking products and services mainly in the southern United States. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1997 and has increased its dividend payments for 22 consecutive years.
Yield: 3.6% | Dividend Growth: 15.0% | 20 Year Yield: 56.8%

Abbvie Inc. (ABBV) is a global research-based pharmaceuticals business that emerged as a separate entity following its spin-off from Abbott Laboratories at the start of 2013. AbbVie's key drug is Humira for rheumatoid arthritis. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1926 and has increased its dividend payments for 48 consecutive years.
Yield: 4.9% | Dividend Growth: 10.6% | 20 Year Yield: 32.2%

ONEOK, Inc. (OKE) is an Oklahoma-based natural gas utility with substantial midstream operations through its 2% general partnership interest and large limited partnership interests in a master limited partnership. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1939 and has increased its dividend payments for 18 consecutive years.
Yield: 3.7% | Dividend Growth: 5.9% | 20 Year Yield: 28.6%

As with past screens, the data presented above is in its raw form. Some of the the companies would be disqualified for poor dividend fundamentals. However some of the others may be worth additional due diligence.

My database, D4L-Data, is an Open Office spreadsheet containing more than 20 columns of information on the 150+ companies that I track. The data is sortable and has built-in buttons and macros to make it easy to use. Companies included in the list are those that have had a history of dividend growth. The D4L-Data spreadsheet is a part of D4L-Premium Services and is updated each Saturday for subscribers.

Full Disclosure: Long ABBV,

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