Friday, January 23, 2015

2014-Q4 Performance Review

After each quarter-end, I review my asset allocation and year-to-date total returns by category. The attached PDF contains my actual asset allocation as of 2014-Q4. Below is a high-level summary of the information contained in the PDF:

Asset Allocation Actual Target Diff.
Cash/Fixed Income 12.05% 12.05% 0.00%
Equities-Domestic 61.13% 57.95%  3.19%
Equities-International 21.75% 25.00% -3.25%
Employer Equity 5.06% 5.00% 0.06%
Total 100.00% 100.0%
Cash/Fixed Income 12.05% 12.05% 0.00%
Large Cap. 60.78% 62.95%  -2.17%
Small/Mid Cap. 22.11% 20.00% 2.11%
Employer Equity 5.06% 5.00% 0.06%
Total 100.00% 100.00%

Asset Allocation

Given the unsustainable low interest rates, and the associated future price pressure, I continued to lower my overall bond allocation in the fourth quarter. When rates move up bond prices will be negatively impacted. With international securities struggling, their allocation continues to fall. Each quarter I transfer funds from bonds to international in an attempt to increase my international exposure.

At the end of the fourth quarter my asset allocation was reasonably close to my target. My philosophy is to buy the best dividend stocks available and adjust my allocation using my 401(k) and other investments, when needed. I will make needed adjusts with future purchases.

2014-Q4 Performance

After under-performing in 2013, my Dividend Growth Portfolio at 14.9% slightly out-performed the S&P 500 (14.7%) and under-performed Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.B) 26.6% through the fourth quarter. The Pocket Change Portfolio at 12.7% under performed all three. Below are the YTD performances of various categories along with my S&P 500 (VFINX) and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) benchmarks:

Portfolio Lifetime
Wtd. Avg.
'14 YTD
Div. Growth Stocks 12.7% 14.9%
Pocket Change (9/08) 13.2% 12.7%
S&P 500 (VFINX) 8.8% 14.7%
BRK.B 7.8% 26.6%
Div. Growth vs S&P 3.9% 0.2%
Div. Growth vs BRK 4.9% -11.7%

When weighted with results from 2008 forward, my income portfolios continue to out-performed the S&P and BRK. As I have previously stated, it is my desire to beat the S&P over the long-run, so I don't pay a lot of attention to short-term performance either positive or negative. For more details on the performance of my income portfolios, including year-by-year performance and cumulative chart, please click here.

The graph will show that based on my returns, I doubled my original investment in my Dividend Growth Portfolio from 1999 to the end of 2014. Growing from a hypothetical $99 investment in 1999 to $203 in 2014. This represented a 15.4% compound annual growth rate over that 5-year period.

Passive Income

For Q4/2014 my passive income averaged $3,529/month, up slightly from the $3,308/month in Q3/2014. The increase resulted from higher overall investments and dividend increases. The above amounts include all sources of passive income in my taxable accounts, primarily interest and dividends. It excludes my Roth IRA, 401(k) and blog income (which is not passive).

The next update will be in late-April. As always, thanks for reading! See a list of all my dividend growth holdings here.

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(Photo: sanja gjenero)

Tags: BRK.B, VINF,

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